Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.002252 0.002381 0.002518 0.002674 0.002850 0.003041 0.003268
2025-02-23 0.002102 0.002286 0.002493 0.002745 0.003048 0.003406 0.003873
2025-03-02 0.001944 0.002155 0.002401 0.002714 0.003110 0.003610 0.004315
2025-03-09 0.001811 0.002035 0.002302 0.002654 0.003119 0.003737 0.004671
2025-03-16 0.001753 0.001997 0.002296 0.002704 0.003267 0.004061 0.005370
2025-03-23 0.001700 0.001959 0.002284 0.002740 0.003396 0.004376 0.006136
2025-03-30 0.001630 0.001893 0.002230 0.002712 0.003427 0.004541 0.006694
2025-04-06 0.001553 0.001813 0.002150 0.002640 0.003382 0.004576 0.007014
2025-04-13 0.001498 0.001759 0.002102 0.002607 0.003392 0.004702 0.007557
2025-04-20 0.001412 0.001661 0.001988 0.002472 0.003228 0.004502 0.007325
2025-04-27 0.001379 0.001631 0.001965 0.002469 0.003275 0.004683 0.008044
2025-05-04 0.001368 0.001631 0.001984 0.002528 0.003428 0.005089 0.009537
2025-05-11 0.001338 0.001604 0.001967 0.002535 0.003501 0.005370 0.010945
2025-05-18 0.001327 0.001603 0.001985 0.002600 0.003684 0.005932 0.013941
2025-05-25 0.001290 0.001564 0.001948 0.002571 0.003695 0.006113 0.015729
2025-06-01 0.001248 0.001518 0.001896 0.002517 0.003651 0.006156 0.016963
2025-06-08 0.001236 0.001512 0.001905 0.002562 0.003803 0.006735 0.022772
2025-06-15 0.001221 0.001502 0.001907 0.002595 0.003937 0.007317 0.031945
2025-06-22 0.001193 0.001472 0.001876 0.002570 0.003945 0.007540 0.039562
2025-06-29 0.001157 0.001429 0.001824 0.002504 0.003861 0.007458 0.042313
2025-07-06 0.001132 0.001400 0.001793 0.002475 0.003853 0.007620 0.052825
2025-07-13 0.001085 0.001340 0.001711 0.002352 0.003631 0.007034 0.040857
2025-07-20 0.001069 0.001324 0.001698 0.002349 0.003674 0.007350 0.056993